New model from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) projects the Coronavirus peak date for all 50 states.
New York state will see it’s Coronavirus outbreak peak by April 9, and the last state, Virginia, peaks by May 17.
The model projects 83,967 people will have died by August 4, 2020. Somewhat less than new 100,000 to 200,000 death toll projections, which is bad, but far better than the 1-2 million death projection.
Reports from Seattle and San Francisco suggest social distancing is flattening the curve.
After the crisis is over, people will debate if it was social distancing that worked, or the virus ran its course, and peaked on it’s own, as the experts and models are now publishing peak dates anyway.