When Coronavirus Will Peak (By State) according to an IHME Model

New model from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) projects the Coronavirus peak date for all 50 states.

Model suggests:

New York state will see it’s Coronavirus outbreak peak by April 9, and the last state, Virginia, peaks by May 17.

The model projects 83,967 people will have died by August 4, 2020. Somewhat less than new 100,000 to 200,000 death toll projections, which is bad, but far better than the 1-2 million death projection.

Reports from Seattle and San Francisco suggest social distancing is flattening the curve.

After the crisis is over, people will debate if it was social distancing that worked, or the virus ran its course, and peaked on it’s own, as the experts and models are now publishing peak dates anyway.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s